Weekly Unlock Schedule (June 22–28, 2026)
Published 6/20/2026, 10:52:16 PM
The scheduled release of approximately $261.4 million in tokens between June 22 and June 28, 2026, is expected to exert concentrated downward pressure on specific altcoins. While the total dollar value is significant, the primary risk factor is the dilution ratio (unlock size relative to circulating supply) rather than the absolute dollar amount.
Weekly Unlock Schedule (June 22–28, 2026)
The following table breaks down the major contributors to the $261M total:
| Token | Unlock Date | Value | % of Circulating Supply | Risk Level |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Humanity Protocol ($H) | June 24 | $62.0M | ~10.2% | 🟡 High |
| Gram ($GRAM) | June 23 | $58.2M | ~1.4% | 🟢 Low |
| Sahara AI ($SAHARA) | June 26 | $16.6M | ~30.1% | 🔴 Critical |
| LayerZero ($ZRO) | June 21/22 | $23.2M | 4.8% | 🟡 Moderate |
| Other Assets | Various | ~$101.4M | Varies | Mixed |
| TOTAL | — | ~$261.4M | — | — |
High-Risk Assets and Supply Shocks
- Sahara AI ($SAHARA) - Critical Risk: This is the most significant event of the week. The release of 1.03 billion tokens represents roughly 30.1% of the current circulating supply. With a market cap of only ~$44.42M, this $16.6M unlock creates a massive supply shock. Approximately 52% of these tokens are allocated to early backers, increasing the likelihood of immediate profit-taking.
- Humanity Protocol ($H) - High Risk: The $62M unlock represents a 10.2% expansion of the current float. Currently, only ~28% of the total supply is circulating, meaning the market remains highly sensitive to these "cliff" unlocks. Given the token is already down significantly from its June 2 all-time high, this added supply may suppress recovery.
- Gram ($GRAM) - Low Risk: Despite the high dollar value ($58.2M), this is a linear monthly release from the "Believers Fund" (36-month vesting). Because it represents only 1.4% of the circulating supply and is a well-telegraphed routine, the market typically absorbs these tranches with minimal volatility.
Historical Precedent and Price Impact
Research into over 16,000 historical unlock events suggests that ~90% of tokens experience negative short-term price pressure surrounding the unlock date.
- Front-Running: Prices often begin to decline up to 30 days prior to the event as traders anticipate the dilution.
- Liquidity Strain: Unlocks that exceed 2.4x the Average Daily Volume (ADV) typically lead to severe price drawdowns. For instance, $SAHARA's $16.6M unlock is roughly 1.27x its $13M ADV, suggesting high but potentially manageable liquidity strain if selling is not immediate.
- Cliff vs. Linear: "Cliff" unlocks (like those for $SAHARA and $H) historically cause sharper, more aggressive price drops compared to the "linear" vesting seen in $GRAM.
Conclusion
The $261M in unlocks will likely lead to a supply-side crash for $SAHARA due to its extreme 30% dilution ratio. $H also faces significant headwinds, while $GRAM and $ZRO are expected to see more moderate, manageable volatility. Investors should monitor the 24-hour trading volume of these assets leading up to their respective unlock dates to gauge liquidity depth.
Next Steps:
- Would you like a deep dive into the technical analysis and liquidity depth for $SAHARA or $H to identify potential entry/exit levels?
- I can set up a scheduled monitor to alert you of price movements for these tokens 24 hours before their respective unlocks.